Financial Variables, Market Transactions, and Expectations as Functions of Risk

Consumer Attitudes, Expectations, and Financial Market Participation

Political Risk, Financial Crisis, and Market Volatility

This paper examines the impact of political uncertainty on the recent financial crises in emerging markets. By examining political election cycles, we find that eight out of nine of the recent financial crises happened during periods of political election and transition. Using a combination of probit and switching regression analysis, we find that there is a significant relationship between pol...

Sourcing, Risk and the Financial Market

Outsourcing has become a commonly accepted alternative of strategic management. But how do stockholders rate the corporate decision to divest parts of the former business? We study the stock market reaction of outsourcing announcements of the global financial services industry, using event study methodology and multivariate cross-sectional regression analysis. We analyze a sample of 162 outsour...

Financial Market Perceptions of Recession Risk

Over the Great Moderation period in the United States, we find that corporate credit spreads embed crucial information about the one-year-ahead probability of recession, as evidenced by both inand out-of-sample fit. Furthermore, the incidence of “false positive” predictions of recession is dramatically reduced by utilizing a bivariate model that includes a measure of credit spreads along with t...

the study of practical and theoretical foundation of credit risk and its coverage

پس از بررسی هر کدام از فاکتورهای نوع صنعت, نوع ضمانت نامه, نرخ بهره , نرخ تورم, ریسک اعتباری کشورها, کارمزد, ریکاوری, gdp, پوشش و وثیقه بر ریسک اعتباری صندوق ضمانت صادرات ایران مشخص گردید که همه فاکتورها به استثنای ریسک اعتباری کشورها و کارمزد بقیه فاکتورها رابطه معناداری با ریسک اعتباری دارند در ضمن نرخ بهره , نرخ تورم, ریکاوری, و نوع صنعت و ریسک کشورها اثر عکس روی ریسک اعتباری داردو پوشش, وثی...